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Dollar Pulls Back as Treasury Rally Cools Rate-Hike Bets

Makkler Newsroom
October 15, 2026 · Based on reporting by Dünya, CNA, The Business Times

The dollar retreated from an 18-month high as bond yields fell and cautious Fed remarks tempered expectations for an October rate increase.

Key takeaways

  • The dollar index fell 0.44% to 102.00 on Thursday, according to CNA.
  • CNA reported a 72% chance of the Fed holding rates at its October meeting.
  • The euro and sterling strengthened as the dollar retreated.

The dollar index fell 0.44% to 102.00 on Thursday, retreating from an 18-month high, according to CNA. Treasury prices rose as investors weighed cautious Federal Reserve remarks and renewed concerns about debt at AI companies.

CNA reported that traders saw a 72% chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged at its Oct. 27-28 meeting, up from 53% a month earlier. The odds of a hike had risen after strong inflation data, but eased after officials said the Fed could wait for more clarity.

The euro rose 0.48% to $1.1210 and sterling gained 0.45% to $1.3251, CNA reported. The Australian dollar fell 0.88% to $0.6911 after Australian employment unexpectedly declined in September.

Topics
US DollarFederal ReserveEuroBritish Pound

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