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CBRT interest rate decision

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey sets its one-week repo rate, the benchmark for lira borrowing costs. It moves deposit and loan rates, the lira and bank shares most directly.

We'll tell you 15 minutes before each release and when the figure is out.

Latest release

Thu, September 10, 2026 · 07:00 · September

37%In line

Forecast 37%Previous 37%

  • Overnight lending rate40%
  • Overnight borrowing rate35.5%

Next release

Thu, October 22, 2026 · 07:00 · October

4d 7h

No forecastPrevious 37%

    Recent releases (Policy rate)

    2024-03-21: 50% · Forecast 45%Mar 24April: 50% · Forecast 50%May: 50% · Forecast 50%June: 50% · Forecast 50%Jun 24July: 50% · Forecast 50%August: 50% · Forecast 50%2024-09-19: 50% · Forecast 50%Sep 242024-10-17: 50% · Forecast 50%2024-11-21: 50% · Forecast 50%December: 47.5% · Forecast 48.5%Dec 24January: 45% · Forecast 45%March: 42.5% · Forecast 42.5%April: 46% · Forecast 42.5%Apr 25June: 46% · Forecast 46%July: 43% · Forecast 43.5%2025-09-11: 40.5% · Forecast 41%Sep 252025-10-23: 39.5% · Forecast 39.5%December: 38% · Forecast 38.5%January: 37% · Forecast 36.5%Jan 262026-03-12: 37% · Forecast 37%April: 37%June: 37% · Forecast 37%Jun 262026-07-23: 37% · Forecast 37%September: 37% · Forecast 37%Sep 2637%
    ActualForecast

    Market memory

    53 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.

    BIST 100

    Moved 1.31% on average on release days, against 1.32% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (5x)+0.38% · up days 3/5
    • When below forecast (10x)+1.35% · up days 9/10
    • When in line (37x)+0.71% · up days 25/37

    Recent release days

    Sep 10, 26 -0.77%Jul 23, 26 -0.43%Jun 11, 26 -0.01%Apr 22, 26 -0.28%Mar 12, 26 +0.65%Jan 22, 26 +0.97%

    USD/TRY

    Moved 0.31% on average on release days, against 0.34% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (5x)+0.03% · up days 3/5
    • When below forecast (10x)-0.03% · up days 7/10
    • When in line (37x)+0.21% · up days 25/37

    Recent release days

    Sep 10, 26 +0.05%Jul 23, 26 +0.03%Jun 11, 26 +0.07%Apr 22, 26 +0.08%Mar 12, 26 +0.02%Jan 22, 26 +0.01%

    BIST Banks

    Moved 1.78% on average on release days, against 1.96% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (5x)+2.52% · up days 3/5
    • When below forecast (10x)+0.39% · up days 5/10
    • When in line (37x)+0.39% · up days 20/37

    Recent release days

    Sep 10, 26 -1.06%Jul 23, 26 -0.22%Jun 11, 26 +0.62%Apr 22, 26 -1.38%Mar 12, 26 -2.01%Jan 22, 26 -1.80%

    Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.

    Past releases

    DatePeriodActualForecastPrevious
    Sep 10, 2026September37%37%37%
    Jul 23, 202637%37%37%
    Jun 11, 2026June37%37%37%
    Apr 22, 2026April37%—37%
    Mar 12, 202637%37%37%
    Jan 22, 2026January37%36.5%38%
    Dec 11, 2025December38%38.5%39.5%
    Oct 23, 202539.5%39.5%40.5%
    Sep 11, 202540.5%41%43%
    Jul 24, 2025July43%43.5%46%
    Jun 19, 2025June46%46%46%
    Apr 17, 2025April46%42.5%42.5%
    Mar 6, 2025March42.5%42.5%45%
    Jan 23, 2025January45%45%47.5%
    Dec 26, 2024December47.5%48.5%50%
    Nov 21, 202450%50%50%
    Oct 17, 202450%50%50%
    Sep 19, 202450%50%50%
    Aug 20, 2024August50%50%50%
    Jul 23, 2024July50%50%50%
    Jun 27, 2024June50%50%50%
    May 23, 2024May50%50%50%
    Apr 25, 2024April50%50%50%
    Mar 21, 202450%45%45%

    More from Turkey

    Turkey inflation (CPI)Turkey producer prices (PPI)Turkey GDP growthTurkey unemployment rateTurkey current accountTurkey foreign tradeTurkey industrial productionTurkey retail salesTurkey consumer confidenceTurkey manufacturing PMICBRT meeting summaryCBRT inflation report

    Data compiled by MakklerFinn; figures are published by the official bodies concerned. Times are New York time.

    For information only, not investment advice.