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China GDP growth

Growth of the world's second-largest economy. It moves commodities, emerging markets and exporters' shares.

We'll tell you 15 minutes before each release and when the figure is out.

Latest release

Tue, July 14, 2026 · 22:00 · Q2

4.3%Below forecast

Forecast 4.5%Previous 5%

  • Quarterly0.9% / 0.9%

Next release

Sun, October 18, 2026 · 22:00 · Q3

22h 33m

Forecast 4.4%Previous 4.3%

  • Quarterly— / 1.1%

Recent releases (Yearly)

Q4: 6.5% · Forecast 6.1%Jan 21Q1: 18.3% · Forecast 19%Q2: 7.9% · Forecast 8.1%Q3: 4.9% · Forecast 5.2%Oct 21Q4: 4% · Forecast 3.6%Q1: 4.8% · Forecast 4.4%Q2: 0.4% · Forecast 1%Jul 22Q3: 3.9% · Forecast 3.4%Q4: 2.9% · Forecast 1.8%Q1: 4.5% · Forecast 4%Apr 23Q2: 6.3% · Forecast 7.3%Q3: 4.9% · Forecast 4.4%Q4: 5.2% · Forecast 5.3%Jan 24Q1: 5.3% · Forecast 5%Q2: 4.7% · Forecast 5.1%Q3: 4.6% · Forecast 4.5%Oct 24Q4: 5.4% · Forecast 5%Q1: 5.4% · Forecast 5.1%Q2: 5.2% · Forecast 5.1%Jul 25Q3: 4.8% · Forecast 4.8%Q4: 4.5% · Forecast 4.4%Q1: 5% · Forecast 4.8%Apr 26Q2: 4.3% · Forecast 4.5%Jul 264.3%
ActualForecast

Market memory

19 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.

Shanghai Composite

Moved 0.85% on average on release days, against 0.69% on an ordinary day.

  • When above forecast (13x)-0.03% · up days 7/13
  • When below forecast (5x)-0.96% · up days 1/5
  • When in line (1x)+0.63% · up days 1/1

Recent release days

Jul 15, 26 -0.29%Apr 16, 26 +0.70%Jan 19, 26 +0.29%Oct 20, 25 +0.63%Jul 15, 25 -0.42%Apr 16, 25 +0.26%

Hang Seng

Moved 1.92% on average on release days, against 1.15% on an ordinary day.

  • When above forecast (13x)-0.68% · up days 4/13
  • When below forecast (5x)-1.61% · up days 1/5
  • When in line (1x)+2.42% · up days 1/1

Recent release days

Jul 15, 26 +1.40%Apr 16, 26 +1.72%Jan 19, 26 -1.05%Oct 20, 25 +2.42%Jul 15, 25 +1.60%Apr 16, 25 -1.91%

Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.

Past releases

DatePeriodActualForecastPrevious
Jul 14, 2026Q24.3%4.5%5%
Apr 15, 2026Q15%4.8%4.5%
Jan 18, 2026Q44.5%4.4%4.8%
Oct 19, 2025Q34.8%4.8%5.2%
Jul 14, 2025Q25.2%5.1%5.4%
Apr 15, 2025Q15.4%5.1%5.4%
Jan 16, 2025Q45.4%5%4.6%
Oct 17, 2024Q34.6%4.5%4.7%
Jul 14, 2024Q24.7%5.1%5.3%
Apr 15, 2024Q15.3%5%5.2%
Jan 16, 2024Q45.2%5.3%4.9%
Oct 17, 2023Q34.9%4.4%6.3%
Jul 16, 2023Q26.3%7.3%4.5%
Apr 17, 2023Q14.5%4%2.9%
Jan 16, 2023Q42.9%1.8%3.9%
Oct 23, 2022Q33.9%3.4%0.4%
Jul 14, 2022Q20.4%1%4.8%
Apr 17, 2022Q14.8%4.4%4%
Jan 16, 2022Q44%3.6%4.9%
Oct 17, 2021Q34.9%5.2%7.9%
Jul 14, 2021Q27.9%8.1%18.3%
Apr 15, 2021Q118.3%19%6.5%
Jan 17, 2021Q46.5%6.1%4.9%

More from China

China industrial output and retail salesChina inflationChina official PMIChina foreign tradeChina loan prime rate

Data compiled by MakklerFinn; figures are published by the official bodies concerned. Times are New York time.

For information only, not investment advice.