US USUS · Interest rates
Fed interest rate decision
The Federal Reserve sets the range for the federal funds rate, the price of dollars worldwide. It moves bonds, the dollar, gold and equities everywhere, Borsa Istanbul included.
Latest release
Wed, September 16, 2026 · 14:00
Forecast 4%Previous 3.75%
Next release
Wed, October 28, 2026 · 14:00
10d 14h
No forecastPrevious 4%
Recent releases (Upper bound)
Market memory
38 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.
S&P 500
Moved 1.02% on average on release days, against 0.76% on an ordinary day.
- When above forecast (1x)+1.46% · up days 1/1
- When below forecast (1x)-0.29% · up days 0/1
- When in line (36x)0.00% · up days 14/36
Recent release days
US Dollar Index
Moved 0.45% on average on release days, against 0.34% on an ordinary day.
- When above forecast (1x)-0.34% · up days 0/1
- When below forecast (1x)-0.29% · up days 0/1
- When in line (36x)-0.09% · up days 15/36
Recent release days
Gold
Moved 0.64% on average on release days, against 0.86% on an ordinary day.
- When above forecast (1x)+0.34% · up days 1/1
- When below forecast (1x)+0.24% · up days 1/1
- When in line (36x)+0.11% · up days 22/36
Recent release days
Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.
Past releases
| Date | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | 4% | 4% | 3.75% | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 4% | |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 4% | 4% | 4.25% | |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.5% | |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.75% | |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 5% | |
| Sep 18, 2024 | 5% | 5.25% | 5.5% | |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | |
| May 1, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | |
| Sep 20, 2023 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | |
| Jul 26, 2023 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.25% |