US USUS · Inflation
US inflation (CPI)
The Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer price index. The figure that most often decides what the Fed does next.
Latest release
Wed, October 14, 2026 · 08:30 · September
Forecast 3.6%Previous 3.4%
- Core, yearly2.6% / 2.5%
- Monthly0.6% / 0.6%
- Core, monthly0.3% / 0.2%
- Index level336.94 / 336.65
- Index, seasonally adjusted336.3
Next release
Tue, November 10, 2026 · 08:30 · October
23d 10h
No forecastPrevious 3.7%
Recent releases (Yearly)
Market memory
55 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.
S&P 500
Moved 0.98% on average on release days, against 0.76% on an ordinary day.
- When above forecast (18x)-0.72% · up days 3/18
- When below forecast (19x)+0.67% · up days 16/19
- When in line (18x)+0.37% · up days 12/18
Recent release days
US Dollar Index
Moved 0.48% on average on release days, against 0.34% on an ordinary day.
- When above forecast (18x)+0.32% · up days 12/18
- When below forecast (19x)-0.62% · up days 5/19
- When in line (18x)-0.03% · up days 9/18
Recent release days
Gold
Moved 0.83% on average on release days, against 0.86% on an ordinary day.
- When above forecast (18x)-0.15% · up days 7/18
- When below forecast (19x)+0.65% · up days 12/19
- When in line (18x)-0.01% · up days 9/18
Recent release days
Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.
Past releases
| Date | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | September | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | August | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Aug 12, 2026 | July | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Jul 14, 2026 | June | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | May | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| May 12, 2026 | April | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | March | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | February | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | January | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| Jan 13, 2026 | December | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Dec 18, 2025 | November | 2.7% | 3.1% | — |
| Oct 24, 2025 | September | 3% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Sep 11, 2025 | August | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | July | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Jul 15, 2025 | June | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Jun 11, 2025 | May | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| May 13, 2025 | April | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Apr 10, 2025 | March | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | February | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | January | 3% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Jan 15, 2025 | December | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Dec 11, 2024 | November | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Nov 13, 2024 | October | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Aug 14, 2024 | July | 2.9% | 3% | 3% |