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US PCE inflation

Personal consumption expenditure prices, the inflation measure the Fed targets at 2%. Released with personal income and spending.

We'll tell you 15 minutes before each release and when the figure is out.

Latest release

Wed, August 26, 2026 · 08:30 · July

0.2%In line

Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%

  • Core, yearly3.3% / 3.3%
  • Yearly3.7% / 3.6%
  • Monthly0.2% / 0.1%
  • Personal income0.4% / 0.2%
  • Personal spending0.2% / 0.1%

Next release

Thu, October 29, 2026 · 08:30 · September

11d 9h

No forecastPrevious 0.2%

    Recent releases (Core, monthly)

    June: 0.2% · Forecast 0.1%Jul 24July: 0.2% · Forecast 0.2%August: 0.1% · Forecast 0.2%September: 0.3% · Forecast 0.3%Oct 24October: 0.3% · Forecast 0.3%November: 0.1% · Forecast 0.2%December: 0.2% · Forecast 0.2%Jan 25January: 0.3% · Forecast 0.3%February: 0.4% · Forecast 0.3%March: 0% · Forecast 0.1%Apr 25April: 0.1% · Forecast 0.1%May: 0.2% · Forecast 0.1%June: 0.3% · Forecast 0.3%Jul 25July: 0.3% · Forecast 0.3%August: 0.2% · Forecast 0.2%November: 0.2% · Forecast 0.2%Jan 26December: 0.4% · Forecast 0.3%January: 0.4% · Forecast 0.4%February: 0.4% · Forecast 0.4%Apr 26March: 0.3% · Forecast 0.3%April: 0.2% · Forecast 0.3%May: 0.3% · Forecast 0.3%Jun 26June: 0.1% · Forecast 0.2%July: 0.2% · Forecast 0.2%Aug 260.2%
    ActualForecast

    Market memory

    58 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.

    S&P 500

    Moved 0.93% on average on release days, against 0.76% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (9x)+0.13% · up days 6/9
    • When below forecast (12x)+0.10% · up days 7/12
    • When in line (36x)+0.29% · up days 20/36

    Recent release days

    Aug 26, 26 -0.02%Jul 30, 26 +1.66%Jun 25, 26 -0.01%May 28, 26 +0.58%Apr 30, 26 +1.02%Apr 9, 26 +0.62%

    US Dollar Index

    Moved 0.31% on average on release days, against 0.34% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (9x)0.00% · up days 2/9
    • When below forecast (12x)-0.23% · up days 3/12
    • When in line (36x)+0.03% · up days 19/36

    Recent release days

    Aug 26, 26 +0.25%Jul 30, 26 -0.78%Jun 25, 26 -0.18%May 28, 26 -0.19%Apr 30, 26 -0.85%Apr 9, 26 -0.31%

    Gold

    Moved 0.88% on average on release days, against 0.86% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (9x)+0.31% · up days 7/9
    • When below forecast (12x)+0.31% · up days 5/12
    • When in line (36x)+0.02% · up days 20/36

    Recent release days

    Aug 26, 26 -0.88%Jul 30, 26 +1.58%Jun 25, 26 +0.97%May 28, 26 +1.14%Apr 30, 26 +1.49%Apr 9, 26 +0.85%

    Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.

    Past releases

    DatePeriodActualForecastPrevious
    Aug 26, 2026July0.2%0.2%0.1%
    Jul 30, 2026June0.1%0.2%0.3%
    Jun 25, 2026May0.3%0.3%0.3%
    May 28, 2026April0.2%0.3%0.3%
    Apr 30, 2026March0.3%0.3%0.4%
    Apr 9, 2026February0.4%0.4%0.4%
    Mar 13, 2026January0.4%0.4%0.4%
    Feb 20, 2026December0.4%0.3%0.2%
    Jan 22, 2026November0.2%0.2%0.2%
    Sep 26, 2025August0.2%0.2%0.2%
    Aug 29, 2025July0.3%0.3%0.3%
    Jul 31, 2025June0.3%0.3%0.2%
    Jun 27, 2025May0.2%0.1%0.1%
    May 30, 2025April0.1%0.1%0.1%
    Apr 30, 2025March0%0.1%0.5%
    Mar 28, 2025February0.4%0.3%0.3%
    Feb 28, 2025January0.3%0.3%0.2%
    Jan 31, 2025December0.2%0.2%0.1%
    Dec 20, 2024November0.1%0.2%0.3%
    Nov 27, 2024October0.3%0.3%0.3%
    Oct 31, 2024September0.3%0.3%0.2%
    Sep 27, 2024August0.1%0.2%0.2%
    Aug 30, 2024July0.2%0.2%0.2%
    Jul 26, 2024June0.2%0.1%0.1%

    More from US

    Fed interest rate decisionFed press conferenceFOMC minutesUS inflation (CPI)US producer prices (PPI)US jobs report (non-farm payrolls)US weekly jobless claimsUS ADP private payrollsUS job openings (JOLTS)US GDP growthUS retail salesUS ISM manufacturing PMIUS ISM services PMIUS consumer sentiment (Michigan)US consumer confidence (Conference Board)US durable goods ordersUS housing starts and permitsUS existing home salesUS crude oil inventories (EIA)

    Data compiled by MakklerFinn; figures are published by the official bodies concerned. Times are New York time.

    For information only, not investment advice.