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US GDP growth

Annualised growth of the US economy in the quarter. Published in three estimates; the first moves markets most.

We'll tell you 15 minutes before each release and when the figure is out.

Latest release

Wed, August 26, 2026 · 08:30 · Q2

1.5%In line

Forecast 1.5%Previous 2.1%

  • GDP price index6.4% / 6.3%

Next release

Thu, October 29, 2026 · 08:30 · Q3

11d 9h

No forecastPrevious 2.2%

    Recent releases (Annualised)

    Q2: 3% · Forecast 3%Sep 24Q3: 2.8% · Forecast 3%Q3: 2.8% · Forecast 2.8%Q3: 3.1% · Forecast 2.8%Dec 24Q4: 2.3% · Forecast 2.6%Q4: 2.3% · Forecast 2.3%Q4: 2.4% · Forecast 2.3%Mar 25Q1: -0.3% · Forecast 0.3%Q1: -0.2% · Forecast -0.3%Q1: -0.5% · Forecast -0.2%Jun 25Q2: 3% · Forecast 2.4%Q2: 3.3% · Forecast 3.1%Q2: 3.8% · Forecast 3.3%Sep 25Q3: 4.3% · Forecast 3%Q3: 4.3% · Forecast 3.3%Q3: 4.4% · Forecast 4.3%Jan 26Q4: 1.4% · Forecast 3%Q4: 0.7% · Forecast 1.4%Q4: 0.5% · Forecast 0.7%Apr 26Q1: 2% · Forecast 2.3%Q1: 1.6% · Forecast 2%Q1: 2.1% · Forecast 1.6%Jun 26Q2: 1.5% · Forecast 2.1%Q2: 1.5% · Forecast 1.5%Aug 261.5%
    ActualForecast

    Market memory

    59 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.

    S&P 500

    Moved 0.75% on average on release days, against 0.76% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (26x)+0.12% · up days 12/26
    • When below forecast (24x)+0.63% · up days 18/24
    • When in line (9x)-0.24% · up days 4/9

    Recent release days

    Aug 26, 26 -0.02%Jul 30, 26 +1.66%Jun 25, 26 -0.01%May 28, 26 +0.58%Apr 30, 26 +1.02%Apr 9, 26 +0.62%

    US Dollar Index

    Moved 0.41% on average on release days, against 0.34% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (26x)+0.12% · up days 16/26
    • When below forecast (24x)-0.16% · up days 8/24
    • When in line (9x)-0.05% · up days 3/9

    Recent release days

    Aug 26, 26 +0.25%Jul 30, 26 -0.78%Jun 25, 26 -0.18%May 28, 26 -0.19%Apr 30, 26 -0.85%Apr 9, 26 -0.31%

    Gold

    Moved 0.78% on average on release days, against 0.86% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (26x)-0.07% · up days 15/26
    • When below forecast (24x)+0.49% · up days 19/24
    • When in line (9x)+0.02% · up days 5/9

    Recent release days

    Aug 26, 26 -0.88%Jul 30, 26 +1.58%Jun 25, 26 +0.97%May 28, 26 +1.14%Apr 30, 26 +1.49%Apr 9, 26 +0.85%

    Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.

    Past releases

    DatePeriodActualForecastPrevious
    Aug 26, 2026Q2 · 2nd estimate1.5%1.5%2.1%
    Jul 30, 2026Q2 · Advance1.5%2.1%2.1%
    Jun 25, 2026Q1 · Final2.1%1.6%0.5%
    May 28, 2026Q1 · 2nd estimate1.6%2%0.5%
    Apr 30, 2026Q1 · Advance2%2.3%0.5%
    Apr 9, 2026Q4 · Final0.5%0.7%4.4%
    Mar 13, 2026Q4 · 2nd estimate0.7%1.4%4.4%
    Feb 20, 2026Q4 · Advance1.4%3%4.4%
    Jan 22, 2026Q3 · Final4.4%4.3%3.8%
    Dec 23, 2025Q34.3%3.3%3.8%
    Oct 30, 2025Q3 · Advance4.3%3%3.8%
    Sep 25, 2025Q2 · Final3.8%3.3%-0.6%
    Aug 28, 2025Q2 · 2nd estimate3.3%3.1%-0.5%
    Jul 30, 2025Q2 · Advance3%2.4%-0.5%
    Jun 26, 2025Q1 · Final-0.5%-0.2%2.4%
    May 29, 2025Q1 · 2nd estimate-0.2%-0.3%2.4%
    Apr 30, 2025Q1 · Advance-0.3%0.3%2.4%
    Mar 27, 2025Q4 · Final2.4%2.3%3.1%
    Feb 27, 2025Q4 · 2nd estimate2.3%2.3%3.1%
    Jan 30, 2025Q4 · Advance2.3%2.6%3.1%
    Dec 19, 2024Q3 · Final3.1%2.8%3%
    Nov 27, 2024Q3 · 2nd estimate2.8%2.8%3%
    Oct 30, 2024Q3 · Advance2.8%3%3%
    Sep 26, 2024Q2 · Final3%3%1.6%

    More from US

    Fed interest rate decisionFed press conferenceFOMC minutesUS inflation (CPI)US PCE inflationUS producer prices (PPI)US jobs report (non-farm payrolls)US weekly jobless claimsUS ADP private payrollsUS job openings (JOLTS)US retail salesUS ISM manufacturing PMIUS ISM services PMIUS consumer sentiment (Michigan)US consumer confidence (Conference Board)US durable goods ordersUS housing starts and permitsUS existing home salesUS crude oil inventories (EIA)

    Data compiled by MakklerFinn; figures are published by the official bodies concerned. Times are New York time.

    For information only, not investment advice.