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US jobs report (non-farm payrolls)

Jobs added outside farming last month, with the unemployment rate and wages, usually on the first Friday. One of the biggest market movers of the month.

We'll tell you 15 minutes before each release and when the figure is out.

Latest release

Fri, October 2, 2026 · 08:30 · September

29KBelow forecast

Forecast 90KPrevious 133K

  • Unemployment rate4.2% / 4.1%
  • Hourly earnings, monthly0.1% / 0.3%
  • Hourly earnings, yearly3% / 3.2%
  • Participation rate61.8%

Next release

Fri, November 6, 2026 · 08:30 · October

19d 10h

No forecastPrevious 29

    Recent releases (Jobs added)

    May: 272K · Forecast 185KJun 24June: 206K · Forecast 190KJuly: 114K · Forecast 175KAugust: 142K · Forecast 160KSep 24September: 254K · Forecast 140KOctober: 12K · Forecast 113KNovember: 227K · Forecast 200KDec 24December: 256K · Forecast 160KJanuary: 143K · Forecast 170KMarch: 228K · Forecast 135KApr 25April: 177K · Forecast 130KJune: 147K · Forecast 110KJuly: 73K · Forecast 110KAug 25August: 22K · Forecast 75KSeptember: 119K · Forecast 50KOctober: -105KDec 25December: 50K · Forecast 60KJanuary: 130K · Forecast 70KFebruary: -92K · Forecast 59KMar 26April: 115K · Forecast 62KMay: 172K · Forecast 85KJuly: -23K · Forecast 80KAug 26August: 162K · Forecast 56KSeptember: 29K · Forecast 90KOct 2629K
    ActualForecast

    Market memory

    56 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.

    S&P 500

    Moved 0.99% on average on release days, against 0.76% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (36x)-0.16% · up days 18/36
    • When below forecast (18x)-0.27% · up days 8/18

    Recent release days

    Oct 2, 26 +0.73%Sep 4, 26 -0.38%Aug 7, 26 +0.62%Jun 5, 26 -2.64%May 8, 26 +0.84%Mar 6, 26 -1.33%

    US Dollar Index

    Moved 0.47% on average on release days, against 0.34% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (36x)+0.13% · up days 20/36
    • When below forecast (18x)-0.29% · up days 6/18

    Recent release days

    Oct 2, 26 -0.17%Sep 4, 26 +0.16%Aug 7, 26 -0.37%Jun 5, 26 +0.66%May 8, 26 -0.42%Mar 6, 26 -0.33%

    Gold

    Moved 1.07% on average on release days, against 0.86% on an ordinary day.

    • When above forecast (36x)-0.10% · up days 19/36
    • When below forecast (18x)+0.46% · up days 11/18

    Recent release days

    Oct 2, 26 -0.95%Sep 4, 26 -1.39%Aug 7, 26 +2.33%Jun 5, 26 -3.10%May 8, 26 +0.42%Mar 6, 26 +1.58%

    Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.

    Past releases

    DatePeriodActualForecastPrevious
    Oct 2, 2026September29K90K133K
    Sep 4, 2026August162K56K21K
    Aug 7, 2026July-23K80K20K
    Jun 5, 2026May172K85K179K
    May 8, 2026April115K62K185K
    Mar 6, 2026February-92K59K126K
    Feb 11, 2026January130K70K48K
    Jan 9, 2026December50K60K56K
    Dec 16, 2025October-105K—108K
    Nov 20, 2025September119K50K-4K
    Sep 5, 2025August22K75K79K
    Aug 1, 2025July73K110K14K
    Jul 3, 2025June147K110K144K
    May 2, 2025April177K130K185K
    Apr 4, 2025March228K135K117K
    Feb 7, 2025January143K170K307K
    Jan 10, 2025December256K160K212K
    Dec 6, 2024November227K200K36K
    Nov 1, 2024October12K113K223K
    Oct 4, 2024September254K140K159K
    Sep 6, 2024August142K160K89K
    Aug 2, 2024July114K175K179K
    Jul 5, 2024June206K190K218K
    Jun 7, 2024May272K185K165K

    More from US

    Fed interest rate decisionFed press conferenceFOMC minutesUS inflation (CPI)US PCE inflationUS producer prices (PPI)US weekly jobless claimsUS ADP private payrollsUS job openings (JOLTS)US GDP growthUS retail salesUS ISM manufacturing PMIUS ISM services PMIUS consumer sentiment (Michigan)US consumer confidence (Conference Board)US durable goods ordersUS housing starts and permitsUS existing home salesUS crude oil inventories (EIA)

    Data compiled by MakklerFinn; figures are published by the official bodies concerned. Times are New York time.

    For information only, not investment advice.