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US retail sales

Monthly change in what Americans spend in shops and online. Consumers are about two thirds of the US economy.

We'll tell you 15 minutes before each release and when the figure is out.

Latest release

Thu, October 15, 2026 · 08:30 · September

0.8%Above forecast

Forecast 0.3%Previous 1.3%

  • Excluding autos0.9% / 0.5%
  • Control group0.1% / 0.3%
  • Yearly6.3%

Next release

No new date on the calendar yet.

Recent releases (Monthly)

September: 0.4% · Forecast 0.3%Oct 24October: 0.4% · Forecast 0.3%November: 0.7% · Forecast 0.5%December: 0.4% · Forecast 0.6%Jan 25January: -0.9% · Forecast -0.1%February: 0.2% · Forecast 0.6%March: 1.4% · Forecast 1.3%Apr 25April: 0.1% · Forecast 0%May: -0.9% · Forecast -0.7%June: 0.6% · Forecast 0.1%Jul 25July: 0.5% · Forecast 0.5%August: 0.6% · Forecast 0.2%September: 0.2% · Forecast 0.4%Nov 25October: 0% · Forecast 0.1%November: 0.6% · Forecast 0.4%December: 0% · Forecast 0.4%Feb 26January: -0.2% · Forecast -0.3%March: 1.7% · Forecast 1.4%April: 0.5% · Forecast 0.5%May 26May: 0.9% · Forecast 0.5%June: 0.2% · Forecast 0.2%July: -0.6% · Forecast 0.1%Aug 26August: 1.2% · Forecast 0.8%September: 0.8% · Forecast 0.3%Oct 260.8%
ActualForecast

Market memory

55 releases over the last 5 years: how the related markets closed on each release day. A release after the close counts for the next session.

S&P 500

Moved 0.83% on average on release days, against 0.76% on an ordinary day.

  • When above forecast (27x)-0.19% · up days 12/27
  • When below forecast (23x)-0.12% · up days 9/23
  • When in line (5x)+0.52% · up days 3/5

Recent release days

Oct 15, 26 +0.33%Sep 16, 26 -0.45%Aug 14, 26 -0.17%Jul 16, 26 -0.51%Jun 17, 26 -1.21%May 14, 26 +0.77%

US Dollar Index

Moved 0.39% on average on release days, against 0.34% on an ordinary day.

  • When above forecast (27x)-0.01% · up days 16/27
  • When below forecast (23x)+0.04% · up days 9/23
  • When in line (5x)-0.10% · up days 3/5

Recent release days

Oct 15, 26 -0.54%Sep 16, 26 +0.66%Aug 14, 26 -0.29%Jul 16, 26 +0.23%Jun 17, 26 +0.55%May 14, 26 +0.41%

Gold

Moved 0.87% on average on release days, against 0.86% on an ordinary day.

  • When above forecast (27x)+0.23% · up days 15/27
  • When below forecast (23x)-0.25% · up days 9/23
  • When in line (5x)-0.01% · up days 2/5

Recent release days

Oct 15, 26 +1.51%Sep 16, 26 +1.26%Aug 14, 26 +0.38%Jul 16, 26 -1.47%Jun 17, 26 +0.62%May 14, 26 -0.45%

Past reactions are no indication of future price moves; other news on the same days may have moved prices too. Not investment advice.

Past releases

DatePeriodActualForecastPrevious
Oct 15, 2026September0.8%0.3%1.3%
Sep 16, 2026August1.2%0.8%-0.5%
Aug 14, 2026July-0.6%0.1%0.2%
Jul 16, 2026June0.2%0.2%1%
Jun 17, 2026May0.9%0.5%0.4%
May 14, 2026April0.5%0.5%1.6%
Apr 21, 2026March1.7%1.4%0.7%
Mar 6, 2026January-0.2%-0.3%0%
Feb 10, 2026December0%0.4%0.6%
Jan 14, 2026November0.6%0.4%-0.1%
Dec 16, 2025October0%0.1%0.1%
Nov 25, 2025September0.2%0.4%0.6%
Sep 16, 2025August0.6%0.2%0.6%
Aug 15, 2025July0.5%0.5%0.9%
Jul 17, 2025June0.6%0.1%-0.9%
Jun 17, 2025May-0.9%-0.7%-0.1%
May 15, 2025April0.1%0%1.7%
Apr 16, 2025March1.4%1.3%0.2%
Mar 17, 2025February0.2%0.6%-1.2%
Feb 14, 2025January-0.9%-0.1%0.7%
Jan 16, 2025December0.4%0.6%0.8%
Dec 17, 2024November0.7%0.5%0.5%
Nov 15, 2024October0.4%0.3%0.8%
Oct 17, 2024September0.4%0.3%0.1%

More from US

Fed interest rate decisionFed press conferenceFOMC minutesUS inflation (CPI)US PCE inflationUS producer prices (PPI)US jobs report (non-farm payrolls)US weekly jobless claimsUS ADP private payrollsUS job openings (JOLTS)US GDP growthUS ISM manufacturing PMIUS ISM services PMIUS consumer sentiment (Michigan)US consumer confidence (Conference Board)US durable goods ordersUS housing starts and permitsUS existing home salesUS crude oil inventories (EIA)

Data compiled by MakklerFinn; figures are published by the official bodies concerned. Times are New York time.

For information only, not investment advice.